Currently, one of the most pressing issues is to identify opportunities to food security in most countries. The level of food security of the population and the security of existing food stocks depend directly on the agrarian policy of the government. If we pay attention to the high share of household farms in the production and delivery of food products on agriculture of the country, it is significantly more difficult to scientifically predict the current state of food security. This is because the fact that many farms operate independently without legal entity status limits their access to official statistics. According to the results of the study, several mathematical models can be used to predict the current state of food security in the country. This mathematical model has been developed because of surveys and statistics, and can be used in the development of long-term plans for food security.

food security, agrarian police, households, farms, food production, rural areas, productive livestock, natural and financial resource, indicators, observation, price, factors, families, employed, forecasting, classification, regression, population.